Effectiveness of the HP3 Screen for Non-High-School-Diploma Graduates: Was FY01 a Better Year

摘要

In February 1999, in response to increasing recruiting difficulties, the Secretary of the Navy raised the cap on non-high-school-diplomas graduates (NHSDGs) from 5 percent to 10 percent of enlisted accessions. Because of concern about the effect that such an increase could have on attrition, Navy Recruiting Command changed the screening tool used to determine NHSDG eligibility. The High Performance Predictor Profile (HP3) replaced the Compensatory Screening (CSM) in February 1, 1999. In August 2001, CNA documented the effectiveness of HP3 for the period from February 1999 through FY00. In this publication, we continue the analysis through FY01. In summary, we find no evidence that the HP3 screen has improved the survival of NHSDGs through 12 months of service. Although the absolute survival of NHSDGs has improved through Recruit Training Camp (RTC), 180 days, and 12 months since the implementation of the HP3 screen, the increase in survival of HSDGs through the same milestones is at least proportionally as large. In fact, the increase in survival through 12 months is relatively larger for HSDGs than for NHSDGs. Therefore, we conclude that the HP3 and CSM screens are comparable in their ability to screen out high-risk NHSDG recruits.