基于累积前景理论的公交调度优化灰关联评价方法

摘要

Considering the grey correlate character of the influence factors,four indicators including the effectiveness of the traffic time,transportation network accessibility,capacity coordinator and economic benefits are used to establish bus scheduling optimization program evaluation system.Considering the risk attitude impact of decision makers on public traffic vehicle scheduling optimization projects,a public traffic vehicle scheduling optimization model is built.Finally,the model is applied in the evaluation of four scheduling optimization projects about a bus route in Guangzhou,and compared with the results of the analytic hierarchy process and grey correlation method.It is verified the feasible and effectiveness.%针对公交调度优化评价决策影响因素的灰色关联特征,从出行时间有效性、交通网络可达性、运力协调性以及经济效益4个指标出发建立公交调度优化方案的评价体系,考虑决策者风险态度对公交调度优化方案评价的影响,构建基于累积前景理论的公交调度优化灰色关联的评价模型,选取广州市的某条公交线路的四种调度优化方案进行评价,并将评价结果与层次分析法和灰关联方法的评价结果作比较,验证该模型的可行性与有效性.