我国交通运输业的碳排放测度及因素分解

摘要

On the basis of the statistical data of the IPCC reports, the paper calculates the carbon emissions by the transportation industry of China between 1995 and 2008 and then, according to the figures obtained, analyzes the tendences for the-changes in carbon emission per capita and emission intensity. Using STIRPAT model, it decomposes the contributors to the growing carbon emissions volume into several factors, studies in detail two of them, population and economic development, and finally gives remedial suggestions.%依据IPCC清单指南报告,以能源消耗为对象,计算1995-2008年中国交通运输业的碳排放量,在此基础上分析了人均碳排放量、碳排放强度的变化趋势;然后利用STIRPAT模型,对碳排放量进行因素分解,分析了人口因素(按年龄分为两组)、经济因素对中国交通业碳排放的影响;最后提出了相应的建议.