基于非合作博弈的城际运输通道客运分担率及定价策略研究

摘要

Based on the fact that various transportation modes coexist in the inter‐city transportation corridor ,railway and high‐way were chosen as the two main transportation modes for this study .Utility function was determined after analyzing influencing factors of passenger choice about transportation modes .Double sharing rate model was developed between passengers and trans‐portation modes by using the logit model .Based on the competitive relationships between the two transportation modes ,non‐co‐operative game model was developed by analyzing the Nanchang‐Jiujiang transportation corridor .In addition ,the calculation and analysis of sharing rate and price were performed on Nanchang‐Jiujiang intercity high‐speed rail and Nanchang‐Jiujiang highway in the corridor .The results showed that the newly developed model has the best sharing rate and the optimal ticket price combina‐tion .It can realize the maximization of the whole benefits of two transportation modes .%针对城际运输通道内多种运输方式并存的现状，选取铁路、公路2种主要运输方式作为研究对象，分析决定旅客出行方式选择的影响因素，确定旅客出行效用函数，运用logit模型建立旅客和运输方式的双层分担率模型，并求解分担率。针对2种运输方式竞争关系，以昌九运输通道为算例建立非合作博弈模型，对昌九城际高铁和高速公路的分担率及票价进行了计算分析，结果表明，模型存在博弈的最佳分担率和最优票价组合，能够实现2种运输方式的整体效益最大化。