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Europeub4s crisis without end: The consequences of neoliberalism run amok

机译:欧洲危机没有结束:新自由主义的后果不堪一击

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摘要

This paper argues the euro zone crisis is the product of a toxic neoliberal economic policy cocktail. The mixing of that cocktail traces all the way back to the early 1980s when Europe embraced the neoliberal economic model that undermined the income and demand generation process via wage stagnation and widened income inequality. Stagnation was serially postponed by a number of developments, including the stimulus from German re-unification and the low interest rate convergence produced by creation of the euro. The latter prompted a ten year credit and asset price bubble that created fictitious prosperity. Postponing stagnation in this fashion has had costs because it worsened the ultimate stagnation by creating large build-ups of debt. Additionally, the creation of the euro ensconced a flawed monetary system that fosters public debt crisis and the political economy of fiscal austerity. Lastly, during this period of postponement, Germany sought to avoid stagnation via export-led growth based on wage repression. That has created an internal balance of payments problem within the euro zone that is a further impediment to resolving the crisis. There is a way out of the crisis. It requires replacing the neoliberal economic model with a structural Keynesian model; remaking the European Central Bank so that it acts as government banker; having Germany replace its export-led growth wage suppression model with a domestic demand-led growth model; and creating a pan-European model of wage and fiscal policy coordination that blocks race to the bottom tendencies within Europe. Countries, particularly Germany, can implement some of this agenda on their own. However, much of the agenda must be implemented collectively, which makes change enormously difficult. Moreover, the war of ideas in favor of such reforms has yet to be won. Consequently, both politics and the ruling intellectual climate make success unlikely and augur a troubled future.
机译:本文认为,欧元区危机是有毒的新自由主义经济政策鸡尾酒的产物。这种鸡尾酒的混合可以追溯到1980年代初,当时欧洲接受了新自由主义经济模型,该模型通过工资停滞和扩大的收入不平等破坏了收入和需求的产生过程。经济停滞被一系列事态发展推迟,其中包括德国统一带来的刺激和欧元创建带来的低利率趋同。后者引发了十年的信贷和资产价格泡沫,创造了虚拟的繁荣。以这种方式推迟停滞是有代价的,因为它通过增加债务积累而加剧了最终的停滞。此外,欧元的建立使存在缺陷的货币体系更加恶化,该体系助长了公共债务危机和财政紧缩的政治经济。最后,在这一推迟时期,德国试图通过基于工资压制的出口拉动型增长避免停滞。这在欧元区内造成了内部国际收支问题,这进一步成为解决危机的障碍。摆脱危机是有办法的。它需要用结构凯恩斯主义模型代替新自由主义经济模型。改造欧洲中央银行,使其充当政府银行家;让德国以国内需求为主导的增长模型取代其出口主导的增长工资抑制模型;并建立了泛欧的工资和财政政策协调模型,以阻止竞争至欧洲内部的最低趋势。各国,尤其是德国,可以自行执行其中的某些议程。但是,许多议程必须集体执行,这使变革变得极为困难。此外,支持这种改革的思想之战尚未赢得胜利。因此,政治和统治性的知识氛围都使成功变得不太可能,预示着未来的困境。

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    Palley Thomas I.;

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  • 年度 2013
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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