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An Introduction to Twisted Particle Filters and Parameter Estimation in Non-linear State-space Models

机译:非线性状态空间模型中扭曲粒子滤波器的介绍和参数估计

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摘要

Twisted particle filters are a class of sequential Monte Carlo methods recently introduced by Whiteley and Lee to improve the efficiency of marginal likelihood estimation in state-space models. The purpose of this article is toextend the twisted particle filtering methodology, establish accessible theoretical results which convey its rationale, and provide a demonstration of its practical performance within particle Markov chain Monte Carlo for estimating static model parameters. We derive twisted particle filters that incorporate systematic or multinomial resampling and information from historical particle states, and a transparent proof which identifies the optimal algorithm for marginal likelihood estimation. We demonstrate how to approximate the optimal algorithm for nonlinear state-space models with Gaussian noise and we apply such approximations to two examples: a range and bearing tracking problem and an indoor positioning problem with Bluetooth signal strength measurements. We demonstrate improvements over standard algorithms in terms of variance of marginal likelihood estimates and Markov chain autocorrelation for given CPU time, and improved tracking performance using estimated parameters.
机译:扭曲粒子滤波器是Whiteley和Lee最近引入的一类顺序蒙特卡罗方法,用于提高状态空间模型中边缘似然估计的效率。本文的目的是扩展扭曲的粒子滤波方法,建立可访问的理论结果以传达其原理,并提供其在粒子马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛中用于估计静态模型参数的实际性能的演示。我们得出了扭曲的粒子滤波器,该滤波器结合了系统或多项式重采样和来自历史粒子状态的信息,以及一个透明的证明,该证明确定了边际似然估计的最佳算法。我们演示了如何用高斯噪声来近似非线性状态空间模型的最佳算法,并将这种近似应用于两个示例:范围和方位跟踪问题以及带有蓝牙信号强度测量的室内定位问题。对于给定的CPU时间,我们在边际似然估计的方差和Markov链自相关方面展示了对标准算法的改进,并使用了估计的参数提高了跟踪性能。

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