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A fuzzy set and resemblance relation approach to the validation of simulation models

机译:一种模糊集与相似关系的仿真模型验证方法

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摘要

Validation is no doubt one of the most important steps in the development of an effective and reliable simulation model of a real system. It aims at deciding whether the model forms a representation of the system accurate enough for credible analysis and decision making. The methods that are currently available for validation are binary in nature, in the sense that they can only be used to either reject or accept the validity of a model. Since it is a commonly accepted point of view that all models are invalid in the strict sense, we develop in this paper a new method for validation that allows to express degrees of validity on a continuous scale. The method makes use of a fuzzy inference algorithm and of a fairly new concept in the theory of fuzzy sets, known as resemblance relations. We demonstrate how our method can easily be used to discriminate more from less valid simulation models for a real-life airline network.
机译:毫无疑问,验证是开发有效且可靠的真实系统仿真模型的最重要步骤之一。它旨在确定模型是否足够准确地构成系统的表示形式,以进行可靠的分析和决策。当前可用于验证的方法本质上是二进制的,从某种意义上说,它们只能用于拒绝或接受模型的有效性。由于从严格意义上讲所有模型都是无效的,这是一种普遍接受的观点,因此我们在本文中开发了一种新的验证方法,该方法允许以连续规模表示有效性程度。该方法利用了模糊推理算法和模糊集理论中的一个新概念,称为相似关系。我们演示了如何轻松地将我们的方法与真实航空公司网络中不太有效的仿真模型相区别。

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