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Parameter Estimation with Mixture Item Response Theory Models: A Monte Carlo Comparison of Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Methods

机译:混合项目反应理论模型的参数估计:最大似然和贝叶斯方法的蒙特卡罗比较

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摘要

The Mixture Item Response Theory (MixIRT) can be used to identify latent classes of examinees in data as well as to estimate item parameters such as difficulty and discrimination for each of the groups. Parameter estimation via maximum likelihood (MLE) and Bayesian estimation based on the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are compared for classification accuracy and parameter estimation bias for difficulty and discrimination. Standard error magnitude and coverage rates were compared across number of items, number of latent groups, group size ratio, total sample size and underlying item response model. Results show that MCMC provides more accurate group membership recovery across conditions and more accurate parameter estimates for smaller samples and fewer items. MLE produces narrower confidence intervals than MCMC and more accurate parameter estimates for larger samples and more items. Implications of these results for research and practice are discussed.
机译:混合项目反应理论(MixIRT)可用于识别数据中应试者的潜在类别,并估计每个组的项目参数,例如难度和辨别力。比较了基于最大似然(MLE)的参数估计和基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)的贝叶斯估计,以提高分类准确度,并比较参数估计偏差的难度和辨别力。比较了项目数量,潜在组数量,组规模比率,总样本规模和基础项目响应模型之间的标准误差大小和覆盖率。结果表明,MCMC可以在各种情况下提供更准确的组成员资格恢复,并为较小的样本和较少的项目提供更准确的参数估计。与较大的样本和更多的项目相比,MLE产生的置信区间比MCMC窄,参数估计更准确。讨论了这些结果对研究和实践的意义。

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