Technology and Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS): The Implications for Future Transportation

摘要

The main thrust for innovation in the transportation field will emerge from persistent pressures to reduce congestion and its impacts on the environment. Future transportation systems will need to provide travelers with individualized and speedier trips that are actually longer in distance due to globalization. At first glance, a satisfactory solution to all of these requirements appears unattainable. However, current research and development in transportation technologies provides clues to the form that the transportation infrastructure could take in the future. This report evaluates the most probable technologies to triumph within future intelligent Transportation Systems. This evaluation involves two steps. First, current and emerging technologies are 'weeded out' by applying VisionEcon's process for measuring multi-dimensional resistance factors. Second, these results are merged with the results of a survey of six experts within the field of ITS. While many ITS experts may be tempted to dismiss the results of this futuristic outlook as whimsical, it is conventional wisdom that business leaders have often been caught off guard by transformations occurring outside their area of expertise.