Analysis of Crashes Involving 15-Passenger Vans

摘要

This study explores the relationship between vehicle occupancy and several other variables in the National Highway Traffic Safety Administrations (NHTSA) Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) database and a 15-passenger vans risk of rollover. A univariate analysis is used to demonstrate the effect of selected variables on single-vehicle rollover crashes. Variables used include speed, number of occupants, driver experience and avoidance maneuvers. Also, a logistic regression model is constructed using data from NHTSAs State Data System a collection of all police reported crashes for that state. The resulting model permits jointly estimating the effect of these variables on the odds and rate of rollover occurrence, conditional on being in a single-vehicle police-reported crash.