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Review: evidence from single studies shows that very few fall risk assessment tools can predict falls in elderly people.

机译:评论:单项研究的证据表明,很少有跌倒风险评估工具可以预测老年人的跌倒。

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Prevention of falls in older people is of interest to both clinicians and researchers. The rationale of a fall risk assessment toof is to predict which patients may have specific risk factors for falling, identifying older adults who are at risk of falling is complex. The systematic review by Scott ef a/examines the test characteristics of various fall assessment tools and will be of interest to those who work with older people in long-term care, community, and acute-care settings. The review is comprehensive in scope, although the qualify of some of the included studies seems low when judged against the gold standard criteria identified by the authors. The authors state that many fools have acceptable evidence of sensitivity and specificity, but of 38 .different fools assessed, only 6 had values 3;70% for both sensitivity and specificity, and even fewer had adequate likelihood ratios. A lack of repeat testing of fools means that performance in settings other than the original settings cannot be assumed.Choosing a fall risk assessment tool for nursing practice will depend on several factors, such as available time and skills of nurses. Evidence of good sensitivity and specificity and predictive values is important, but translating such data into everyday use may be problematic because determining the utility of a test in practice from this information alone is difficult.1 However, no'matter which tool is chosen, its predictive ability will be quite limited. There is an urgent need for accurate fall risk assessment tools and a research programme to provide such tools across a spectrum of practice areas.
机译:防止老年人跌倒是临床医生和研究人员都感兴趣的。跌倒风险评估的基本原理是预测哪些患者可能有特定的跌倒危险因素,确定有跌倒风险的老年人是复杂的。 Scott ef a /进行的系统评估检查了各种跌倒评估工具的测试特性,这对那些在长期护理,社区和急诊环境中与老年人一起工作的人很感兴趣。这篇综述的范围很广,尽管根据作者确定的金标准,某些纳入研究的合格率似乎较低。作者指出,许多傻瓜都具有可接受的敏感性和特异性证据,但在38个不同的傻瓜评估中,只有6个的敏感性和特异性值为3; 70%,具有足够似然比的更少。缺乏对傻瓜的重复测试意味着无法假定在原始设置以外的环境中的表现。选择用于护理实践的跌倒风险评估工具将取决于多个因素,例如护士的可用时间和技能。良好的敏感性,特异性和预测值的证据很重要,但是将这些数据转换为日常使用可能会遇到问题,因为仅凭这些信息就很难确定测试的实用性。1但是,无论选择哪种工具,都没有预测能力将非常有限。迫切需要精确的跌倒风险评估工具和研究计划,以在各种实践领域中提供此类工具。

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