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Application of chaos and neural network in power load forecasting

机译:混沌和神经网络在电力负荷预测中的应用

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This paper employs chaos theory into power load forecasting. Lyapunov exponents on chaos theory are calculated to judge whether it is a chaotic system. Delay time and embedding dimension are calculated to reconstruct the phase space and determine the structure of artificial neural network (ANN). Improved back propagation (BP) algorithm based on genetic algorithm (GA) is used to train and forecast. Finally, this paper uses the load data of Shaanxi province power grid of China to complete the short-term load forecasting. The results show that the model in this paper is more effective than classical standard BP neural network model.
机译:本文采用混沌理论进行电力负荷预测。计算有关混沌理论的李雅普诺夫指数以判断它是否是一个混沌系统。计算延迟时间和嵌入维数以重构相空间并确定人工神经网络(ANN)的结构。基于遗传算法(GA)的改进后向传播(BP)算法用于训练和预测。最后,本文利用中国陕西省电网的负荷数据完成了短期负荷预测。结果表明,该模型比经典的标准BP神经网络模型更有效。

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