安徽省城镇化发展影响因素的空间计量研究

摘要

将空间计量方法应用到安徽省城镇化发展影响因素的分析中，利用安徽省的市域面板数据建立空间滞后和误差模型，对所提出的6个理论假设进行了验证。结果表明：城镇化发展在相邻城市间存在空间相关性；二三产业发展水平、固定资产投资力度和居民受教育程度是影响安徽省城镇化发展的主要因素；经济发展水平对安徽省城镇化发展的影响并不显著；城乡收入差距的扩大会抑制安徽省城镇化的发展。最后，对安徽省城镇化的发展提出了相关建议。%The spatial econometric method was applied to analyze the influencing factors of urbanization based on the panel data of Anhui Province . The spatial lag and error models were constructed in the empirical study to verify the theoretical assumptions .The results show that there exists a strong spatial dependence in urbanization between neighboring cities ;the developmental level of secondary and tertiary industries ,fixed‐asset investment and residents’ degree of education are the main influencing factors of urbanization ;the promoting effect of economic development level on urbanization is not significant ;the income gap between urban and rural areas inhibits the development of urbanization . Finally , some suggestions were given on how to promote the urbanization of Anhui Province based on the conclusions .