基于统计模型的直线式公交停靠站通行能力

摘要

The characteristics of the linear bus transportation are combined with the in-fluencing factors of the bus stop based on the statistical model,and the influence of the volatility of the time including the bus deceleration stop time,bus dwelling time and clearance time is considered,and the effect of buses on the multi-berth stop is also con-sidered.Then bus arrival distribution model and bus stop queuing probability state mod-el,and bus deceleration stop or stop dwell and out time model are established.Moreo-ver,linear bus stop capacity model is established.It makes an example to calculate the capacity of linear bus stop with different numbers of berths and different arrival rates. VISSIM was adopted to make a simulation for the linear bus stop,and the accuracy and practicability of the model are proved.%为研究直线式公交运行特性和停靠站影响因素，以统计模型为基础，考虑公交进站、到站及离站过程时间的波动性和多泊位停靠站公交车辆之间的相互影响，建立了公交到达分布和公交排队进站概率状态模型，还建立了公交进站、在站停靠及离站时间模型，并构建了直线式公交停靠站通行能力模型。通过算例，对不同泊位数和不同到达率下的直线式公交停靠站通行能力进行了验算。并且利用VISSIM软件，对直线式公交停靠站进行了仿真实验，以验证该模型的准确性和实用性。