商洛生态旅游与经济增长关系的协整分析

摘要

选取商洛2001—2010年的实际数据,利用计量经济学中Econometric Views3.1软件工具对这些数据进行处理和分析。运用单位根检验、协整关系检验和Granger因果关系检验,对反映商洛经济发展的两个量：GDP与生态旅游收入两者之间进行了实证分析。分析结果表明：两个变量之间存在协整关系,商洛经济的增长推动了生态旅游业的快速发展,生态旅游业发展对经济增长的贡献很大,成为商洛经济发展的主要产业。%Based on Shangluo 2001--2010 data, and the application of Econometric Views3.1 of Econometrics,these data are handled and analysed. An empirical analysis is done on two elements： GDP and ecological tourism income, which reflect the development of Shangluo, with the application of unit root test,cointegration test, causality test and Granger. The result show that there exist cointegration between the two elements, the economic development of Shangluo promoted the rapid development of ecological tourism, the development of ecological tourism contributes a lot to the economic growth, and become