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Stock-flow consistency in an open economy: Marx and Minsky on accumulation and finance.

机译:开放经济中的股票流一致性:马克思和明斯基在积累和金融方面的研究。

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摘要

The dissertation consists of two parts, a theoretical/formal part (first two chapters) and an empirical/applied part (third chapter). In the first part I develop a stock-flow consistent model of the circuit of capital, based on Prof. Foley's seminal work on the subject, which extends the model to deal with public sector finance and open economy issues. The circuit of capital model is inspired in Volume 2 of Marx's Capital , where Marx develops his famous schemes of reproduction, but is versatile enough so as to admit both classical/Marxian and Keynesian closures.; The first chapter presents a closed economy version of the model, which concentrates on the analysis of alternative theoretical closures, including the distinct role played by the credit system in accumulation and realization according to different trains of thought (i.e. classical vis-a-vis Keynesian). A first approximation to the role of fiscal finance in accumulation and realization is also presented in this chapter.; The second chapter presents an open economy version of the model, which analyzes different accumulation regimes---from highly leveraged processes of debt-led growth to more "cautious" (less dynamic) regimes in which domestic accumulation is thwarted by capital exports. These different regimes have been arranged into a useful taxonomy (inspired on Minsky's classification of financial portfolios) for the characterization different accumulation paths, including the switch from one financial position to another ("regime change"). The inclusion of fiscal finance in this context allows for the analysis of government deficit spending in the context of different net international investment positions. The complementary character of net exports and deficit spending as regards realization (they both tend to enhance it) and long-term growth (under certain conditions, they may both tend to reduce it) helps grasp the likelihood of twin surpluses/deficits. Finally, the inclusion of international reserves, in addition to allowing for a clear-cut appraisal of their impact on capital formation, has served to draw attention to the importance of analyzing gross international capital flows, as opposed to limiting the analysis to net financial positions.; In the second part (third chapter) I develop financial fragility indicators for the case of open economies, following the work of Hyman Minsky, and apply them to the analysis of Argentina's 2001 financial breakdown. As opposed to the long-term perspective of the circuit of capital model, this chapter deals with short- and medium-term macroeconomics. It examines the financial position of firms during the business cycle and pays special attention to the role of foreign indebtedness and currency mismatches. For that purpose I develop and operationalize a set of financial indicators that draw on Minsky's distinction between hedge, speculative, and Ponzi financing positions.
机译:论文由两部分组成,理论/正式部分(前两章)和经验/应用部分(第三章)。在第一部分中,我基于弗利教授在该主题上的开创性工作,建立了资本流动的存量-流量一致性模型,该模型将模型扩展为处理公共部门融资和开放经济问题。资本模型的回路受到马克思《资本论》第2卷的启发,马克思在该书中发展了他著名的再生产计划,但是它具有足够的通用性,可以接受古典/马克思主义和凯恩斯主义的封闭。第一章介绍了该模型的封闭经济模型,该模型集中于对替代性理论封闭的分析,包括根据不同的思路(即古典对凯恩斯主义),信用体系在积累和实现中所发挥的独特作用。 )。本章还对财政金融在积累和实现中的作用进行了初步近似。第二章介绍了该模型的开放经济版本,该模型分析了不同的积累机制,从高杠杆率的债务主导的增长过程到更为“谨慎的”(动力较弱)的体制,在这种体制下,国内积累受到资本出口的阻碍。将这些不同的制度安排到一个有用的分类法中(灵感来自明斯基的金融投资组合分类),以表征不同的积累路径,包括从一种财务状况转换为另一种财务状况(“制度变更”)。在这种情况下,将财政融资包括在内,就可以在不同的国际净投资头寸的背景下分析政府的赤字支出。净出口和赤字支出在实现方面(它们都趋向于提高)和长期增长(在某些条件下,它们都可能在趋向于降低)方面的互补特性有助于把握双盈余/赤字的可能性。最后,除了可以明确评估国际储备对资本形成的影响之外,纳入国际储备还有助于提请人们注意分析国际资本流动总额的重要性,而不是将分析限于净财务状况。;在第二部分(第三章)中,我根据海曼·明斯基的工作,为开放经济体制定了金融脆弱性指标,并将其用于分析阿根廷2001年的金融崩溃情况。与资本模型循环的长期观点相反,本章讨论短期和中期的宏观经济学。它检查了商业周期中公司的财务状况,并特别注意了外国债务和货币错配的作用。为此,我根据Minsky对冲,投机和庞氏融资头寸之间的区别,制定并实施了一套财务指标。

著录项

  • 作者

    Abeles, Martin P.;

  • 作者单位

    New School University.;

  • 授予单位 New School University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2005
  • 页码 126 p.
  • 总页数 126
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 经济学;
  • 关键词

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