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Creating a practical model using real options to evaluate large-scale real estate development projects

机译:使用实物期权创建实用模型,以评估大型房地产开发项目

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摘要

Real Options analysis has only begun to be recognized as way to evaluate real estate and is considered "beyond the cutting edge" of financial analysis. Several academic papers have looked at ways that real estate can be analyzed using real options; however a universally practical financial model using real options has not successfully been achieved. There are several reasons why real options analysis has not quickly come to the forefront of financial analysis. The first obstacle is that real options analysis can be quite rigorous and mathematically complex, making it difficult to be easily adopted by the everyday analyst. Presently, the most common method of analyzing real estate is using Discounted Cash Flow, which is relatively systematic and can be universally understood by most persons in the finance world. However, real options theory is not nearly as intuitive, even to the most sophisticated financial persons. There is no tried and true, universally recognized methodology for real options analysis of real estate, at least not yet. Discounted Cash Flow does a very good job analyzing most real estate. However, complex, multi-phased, or very speculative developments justify significantly more sophisticated analysis methods, such as real options.
机译:实物期权分析才刚刚开始被认为是评估房地产的一种方法,被认为是“超出了金融分析的前沿”。几篇学术论文探讨了使用实物期权分析房地产的方法。但是,尚未成功实现使用实物期权的通用金融模型。实物期权分析未能迅速进入财务分析前沿的原因有很多。第一个障碍是实物期权分析可能非常严格并且在数学上很复杂,这使得日常分析师很难轻易采用它。当前,最常见的分析房地产的方法是使用折现现金流,这是一种相对系统的方法,可以被金融界的大多数人普遍理解。但是,即使对于最精明的财务人员而言,实物期权理论也没有那么直观。至少目前还没有用于房地产的实物期权分析的久经考验的,公认的方法。贴现现金流在分析大多数房地产方面做得很好。但是,复杂的,多阶段的或非常投机的开发证明了更为复杂的分析方法(如实物期权)的合理性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hengels Adam (Adam P.);

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  • 年度 2005
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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