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Estimation of origin-destination flows for dynamic traffic assignment

机译:估计动态交通分配的起始 - 目的地流量

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摘要

This thesis proposes a framework and method for dynamic origin-destination demand estimation. OD estimation is a critical component of a Dynamic Traffic Assignment system in that it determines the frequencies of drivers' trips through a network. The OD estimation method presented here allows for tunable optimization to three classes of objectives: Assigned traffic flows, deviation from historical data, and relative proportions in historical data. The method can be easily extended to make use of other sources of information such as direct measurements of OD flows from probe vehicles. The framework is extended to allow for nonnegativity and capacity constraints on the OD flows. As OD estimation is intended for use in a real-time setting, computational issues are critical, and several simplifications to increase computational efficiency are propsed and evaluted, called the Exact-Match estimator and the Large-Flow estimator. The algorithms presented are implemented as part of the DynaMIT (Dynamic Network Assignment for the Management of Information to Travelers) traffic estimation and prediction software, which incorporates models for driver route choice and traffic movement simulation.
机译:本文提出了一种动态的原产地需求估算框架和方法。 OD估计是动态交通分配系统的关键组成部分,因为它可以确定驾驶员通过网络的出行频率。此处介绍的OD估计方法可对三类目标进行可调优化:分配的流量,与历史数据的偏离以及历史数据中的相对比例。该方法可以轻松扩展,以利用其他信息源,例如直接测量探测车的OD流量。扩展了框架,以允许对OD流进行非负和容量限制。由于OD估计旨在用于实时设置,因此计算问题至关重要,因此提出并评估了几种简化计算以提高计算效率的方法,称为精确匹配估计器和大流量估计器。提出的算法是作为DynaMIT(用于管理旅行者信息的动态网络分配)交通量估算和预测软件的一部分实施的,该软件结合了驾驶员路线选择和交通运动仿真模型。

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