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Pricing of options with stochastic volatilities: Application to agricultural commodity contracts

机译:具有随机波动率的期权定价:适用于农产品合约

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摘要

The empirical evidence in this paper supports the existence of seasonality, time-to-maturity, and long-memory effects in the volatility of prices, but not in the returns themselves, in corn and soybean futures markets. This volatility is modeled as an Orenstein-Ulenbeck process driven by fractional Brownian motion. The inclusion of long-memory stochastic volatility is found to have a significant impact upon the term structure of implied volatilities, and should be able to provide better estimates of in- and out-of-the money optionsub4 prices.
机译:本文的经验证据支持玉米和大豆期货市场中价格波动的季节性,到期时间和长期记忆效应的存在,但不存在收益本身。这种波动被建模为由分数布朗运动驱动的Orenstein-Ulenbeck过程。人们发现,将长期记忆的随机波动性包括在内对隐含波动率的期限结构具有重大影响,并且应该能够更好地估计货币期权和非货币期权的价格。

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