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Transaction costs, liquidity and expected returns at the Berlin stock exchange, 1892-1913

机译:交易成本,流动性和柏林证券交易所的预期回报,1892-1913

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摘要

We estimate effective spreads and round-trip transaction costs at the Berlin Stock Exchange for the period 1892-1913 using daily stock market returns for a sample of 27 stocks. Our results show that transaction costs at the main stock exchange in a bank-based financial system at the turn of the 20th century were quite low and about comparable to transaction costs in modern markets. Nonetheless, transaction costs varied substantially over time and across securities, whereby the cross-sectional variation could be substantially explained by firm size and time variation by crises. Furthermore, we find surprising evidence that transaction costs decrease the expected excess returns. Thereby size and momentum premia are of expected signs while market beta has no significant influence on the cross-sectional return variation.
机译:我们使用27个股票的每日股票市场收益来估算1892-1913年期间柏林股票交易所的有效点差和往返交易成本。我们的结果表明,在20世纪初,基于银行的金融系统中主要证券交易所的交易成本非常低,与现代市场中的交易成本相当。但是,交易成本会随着时间和证券的不同而有很大的不同,因此横截面的变化可以用企业规模和危机的时间变化来解释。此外,我们发现令人惊讶的证据表明交易成本降低了预期的超额收益。因此,规模和动能溢价是预期的迹象,而市场beta对横截面回报变化没有显着影响。

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