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The Driving Forces behind China’s Growth

机译:中国经济增长背后的驱动力

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摘要

The main objective of this paper is to disentangling the determinants of the Chinese economic growth that occurred from 1965 to 2000. We have explored, first, the time series properties of the growth rates of GDP and labour productivity with an extended battery of unit root tests. Then, in a multivariate setting, we use the VAR model methodology to provide evidence that physical and human capital accumulation, R&D expenditure, openness and competitiveness are the main drivers of output, labour productivity and total factor productivity growth in the long run. Additionally, we also show that although China has not yet converged to its long-run equilibrium, it is in the process of catching up. These results are more consistent with some versions of the endogenous growth models than with Solow-type models of growth, since they support active strategies of economic policy to stimulate economic growth and catching up with more advanced economies.
机译:本文的主要目的是弄清1965年至2000年中国经济增长的决定因素。首先,我们通过扩展的单位根检验探索了GDP和劳动生产率增长率的时间序列特性。 。然后,在多变量环境中,我们使用VAR模型方法来提供证据,证明长期而言,物质和人力资本积累,R&D支出,开放性和竞争力是产出,劳动生产率和全要素生产率增长的主要驱动力。此外,我们还表明,尽管中国尚未收敛到长期均衡状态,但它正在追赶中。这些结果与内生增长模型的某些版本相比,与索洛类型的增长模型更为一致,因为它们支持刺激经济增长并追赶更先进经济体的积极经济政策策略。

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