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Relationships Between Government Size and Economic Growth: Japan's Government Reforms and Evidence from OECD

机译:政府规模与经济增长之间的关系:日本的政府改革与经合组织的证据

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摘要

This paper examines the relationship between governmentsize and economic growth of 21 industrialized countries. Governmentsize is measured by government final consumption expendituresand transfer payments. The relationship between government consumptionis expected to increase GDP growth for developing countries, andreduce it for industrialized countries. Government consumption can contributeto increased economic growth. However, government consumptionis likely to expand beyond an efficient level in industrializedcountries. In contrast, transfer payments, and social welfare programsare likely to reduce economic growth for most countries. These programsreduce work incentives and encourage tax avoidance activities.Work disincentives and tax avoidance reduce economic growth. Theseexpected relationships are consistent with economic performance andgovernment size for the countries considered here. Inefficiency andexcessive government growth are checked by voter feedback as tax burdensexceed the associated benefits. Unfortunately, government programcosts and benefits are asymmetrically distributed. The resultingtendency is to expand government programs, particularly programs thatbenefit a majority of voters at the expense of a minority. This tendencybecomes even more acute as the tax system becomes more progressive (i.e., tax burdens become concentrated. Reductions in government sizeare more likely with stagnant or declining economic growth, and in governmentprograms whose costs are widely shared, compared to programswith widely shared benefits and narrowly shared costs.
机译:本文考察了21个工业化国家的政府规模与经济增长之间的关系。政府规模通过政府最终消费支出和转移支付来衡量。预期政府消费之间的关系将增加发展中国家的GDP增长,并减少工业化国家的GDP增长。政府消费可以促进经济增长。但是,在工业化国家,政府消费可能会超出有效水平。相反,大多数国家的转移支付和社会福利计划可能会降低经济增长。这些计划减少了工作激励措施并鼓励了避税活动。工作障碍和避税措施降低了经济增长。这些预期的关系与此处考虑的国家的经济表现和政府规模相一致。当税收负担超过相关利益时,选民的反馈会检查效率低下和政府的过度增长。不幸的是,政府计划的成本和收益是不对称分配的。由此产生的趋势是扩大政府计划,特别是使大多数选民受益而牺牲少数人的计划。随着税收制度的进步,这种趋势变得更加尖锐(即,税收负担变得集中。经济增长停滞或下降的情况下,政府规模缩小的可能性更大;与之相比,利益共享,狭义范围的计划,其成本被广泛分担的政府计划分摊费用。

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