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The dragon in the backyard: US visions of China's relations toward Latin America

机译:后院的巨龙:美国对中国与拉丁美洲关系的看法

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摘要

The economic and political presence of China in Latin America has been growing since the turn of the century. China is now a major trade partner of Latin American countries. China is also a major investor in the region and quite recently also became an important lender as well as, in some cases, a major supplier of military equipment. The United States has to react to the "dragon in the backyard" given that the Western Hemisphere has traditionally been a US zone of infl uence, and that Latin America is still a major US export market and destination of US investments. Since 2004-2005, politicians and think tanks have recurrently discussed the implications of the growing Chinese presence in Latin America for US interests and foreign policy. Neither the Bush administration nor the Obama administration saw/sees China as a major threat in Latin America. This was also the position of the majority of analysts linked to diff erent US think tanks. China’s interests in Latin America are mainly economic - namely, trade and access to natural resources. While some observers see a competition for scarce resources in Latin America, others emphasize the economic potentials and benefi ts of Chinese investments to explore new deposits in Latin America. The direct impact of Chinese economic links with Latin America is less important than its indirect impact: Latin American countries - including those with strained ties with the United States - can act more independently, consequently reducing the United States’ leverage to infl uence their policies. Until now, Chinese weapon sales to and military cooperation with Latin America have not been seen as a threat to US strategic interests. Only in extraordinary circumstances, such as a military confrontation in other world regions, would China’s presence in Latin America be seen as a direct threat to US security interests.
机译:自世纪之交以来,中国在拉丁美洲的经济和政治影响力一直在增长。中国现在是拉美国家的主要贸易伙伴。中国还是该地区的主要投资国,最近也成为重要的贷方,在某些情况下还成为军事装备的主要供应商。鉴于西半球历来是美国的影响区,而拉丁美洲仍然是美国主要的出口市场和美国投资的目的地,因此美国必须对“后院的龙”作出反应。自2004年至2005年以来,政界人士和智囊团反复讨论了中国在拉丁美洲的不断发展对美国利益和外交政策的影响。布什政府和奥巴马政府都没有将中国视为拉美的主要威胁。这也是与美国不同智囊机构相关的大多数分析师的立场。中国在拉美的利益主要是经济利益,即贸易和获取自然资源的机会。虽然一些观察家看到拉美对稀缺资源的竞争,但其他观察家则强调了中国在拉美开发新矿藏的经济潜力和利益。中国对拉美经济联系的直接影响不如其间接影响重要:拉美国家-包括与美国关系紧张的国家-可以采取更加独立的行动,因此降低了美国影响其政策的影响力。迄今为止,中国对拉美的武器销售以及与拉美的军事合作尚未被视为对美国战略利益的威胁。只有在特殊情况下,例如在其他世界地区的军事对抗,中国在拉丁美洲的存在才被视为对美国安全利益的直接威胁。

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    Nolte Detlef;

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