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Monetary policy transmission mechanism and growth of the manufacturing sectors in Libya and Nigeria

机译:利比亚和尼日利亚的货币政策传导机制与制造业增长

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摘要

The study examines the role of exchange rate regimes in determining the nature of relationship be-tween monetary policy transmission mechanisms and manufacturing output growth in oil producing economies in Africa. Libya and Nigeria were used in the study because of the different exchange rate regimes practice in both oil exporting countries. Nigeria as a net oil exporter practices flexible ex-change rate while Libya as a net oil exporter practices fixed exchange rate system. The study employs structural variance decomposition approach (SVAR). It was found out from the study that exchange rate regime has some influences on the monetary policy transmission mechanism and its effectiveness on the manufacturing output growth in the two oil exporting countries. Oil price shocks affect the monetary policy instrument of both countries greatly. While monetary policy instrument appears to be ineffective in promoting output growth of the manufacturing sector in Libya that practices fixed ex-change rate, the reverse is the case in Nigeria. Flexible exchange rate appears to create enabling envi-ronment for monetary policy instrument to influence manufacturing output growth positively in the face of oil price shock.Research paperReference to this paper should be made as follows: Omolade, A. Ngalawa, H. (2017). “Monetary policy transmission mechanism and growth of the manufacturing sectors in Libya and Nigeria: Does exchange rate regime matter?”, Journal of Entrepreneurship, Business and Economics, Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 67–107.
机译:该研究考察了汇率制度在确定非洲石油生产经济体货币政策传导机制与制造业产出增长之间关系性质方面的作用。由于两个石油出口国的汇率制度做法不同,因此在这项研究中使用了利比亚和尼日利亚。尼日利亚作为石油净出口国实行灵活的汇率,而利比亚作为石油净出口国实行固定汇率制度。该研究采用结构方差分解方法(SVAR)。从研究中发现,汇率制度对两个石油出口国的货币政策传导机制及其对制造业产出增长的有效性有一定影响。石油价格冲击极大地影响着两国的货币政策工具。尽管货币政策工具似乎无法有效地促进实行固定汇率的利比亚制造业的产出增长,但尼日利亚的情况恰恰相反。面对汇率波动,灵活的汇率似乎为货币政策工具创造了有利的环境,从而在油价震荡中对制造业产出增长产生积极影响。研究论文的引用应如下:Omolade,A.Ngalawa,H.(2017) 。 “货币政策的传导机制和利比亚和尼日利亚制造业的增长:汇率制度重要吗?”,《创业,商业与经济学杂志》,第1卷。 5,第1页,第67-107页。

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