Estimation of DBH at Forest Stand Level Based on Multi-Parameters and Generalized Regression Neural Network

摘要

The diameter at breast height (DBH) is an important factor used to estimate important forestry indices like forest growing stock, basal area, biomass, and carbon stock. The traditional DBH ground surveys are time-consuming, labor-intensive, and expensive. To reduce the traditional ground surveys, this study focused on the prediction of unknown DBH in forest stands using existing measured data. As a comparison, the tree age was first used as the only independent variable in establishing 13 kinds of empirical models to fit the relationship between the age and DBH of the forest subcompartments and predict DBH growth. Second, the initial independent variables were extended to 19 parameters, including 8 ecological and biological factors and 11 remote sensing factors. By introducing the Spearman correlation analysis, the independent variable parameters were dimension-reduced to satisfy very significant conditions (p ≤ 0.01) and a relatively large correlation coefficient (r ≥ 0.1). Finally, the remaining independent variables were involved in the modeling and prediction of DBH using a multivariate linear regression (MLR) model and generalized regression neural network (GRNN) model. The (root-mean-squared errors) RMSEs of MLR and GRNN were 1.9976 cm and 1.9655 cm, respectively, and the R2 were 0.6459 and 0.6574 respectively, which were much better than the values for the 13 traditional empirical age−DBH models. The use of comprehensive factors is beneficial to improving the prediction accuracy of both the MLR and GRNN models. Regardless of whether remote sensing image factors were included, the experimental results produced by GRNN were better than MLR. By synthetically introducing ecological, biological, and remote sensing factors, GRNN produced the best results with 1.4688 cm in mean absolute error (MAE), 13.78% in MAPE, 1.9655 cm for the RMSE, 0.6574 for the R2, and 0.0810 for the Theil’s inequality coefficient (TIC), respectively. For modeling and prediction based on more complex tree species and a wider range of samples, GRNN is a desirable model with strong generalizability.