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The impact of temperature vertical structure on trajectory modeling of stratospheric water vapor

机译:温度垂直结构对平流层水蒸气轨迹建模的影响

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摘要

Lagrangian trajectories driven by reanalysis meteorological fields arefrequently used to study water vapor (HO) in the stratosphere, in whichthe tropical cold-point temperatures regulate the amount of HO enteringthe stratosphere. Therefore, the accuracy of temperatures in the tropicaltropopause layer (TTL) is of great importance for understanding stratosphericHO abundances. Currently, most reanalyses, such as the NASA MERRA(Modern Era Retrospective – analysis for Research and Applications), onlyprovide temperatures with ~ 1.2 km vertical resolution in the TTL,which has been argued to miss finer vertical structure in the tropopause andtherefore introduce uncertainties in our understanding of stratosphericHO. In this paper, we quantify this uncertainty by comparing theLagrangian trajectory prediction of HO using MERRA temperatures onstandard model levels () to those using GPS temperaturesat finer vertical resolution (), and those using adjustedMERRA temperatures with finer vertical structures induced by waves(). It turns out that by using temperatures with finervertical structure in the tropopause, the trajectory model more realisticallysimulates the dehydration of air entering the stratosphere. But the effect onHO abundances is relatively minor: compared with , tends to dry air by ~ 0.1 ppmv, while tends to dry air by 0.2–0.3 ppmv. Despite thesedifferences in absolute values of predicted HO and vertical dehydrationpatterns, there is virtually no difference in the interannual variability indifferent runs. Overall, we find that a tropopause temperature with finervertical structure has limited impact on predicted stratospheric HO.
机译:由再分析气象场驱动的拉格朗日轨迹通常用于研究平流层中的水蒸气(HO),其中热带冷点温度调节进入平流层的HO量。因此,热带对流层顶层(TTL)中温度的准确性对于了解平流层HO的丰度非常重要。目前,大多数再分析,例如NASA MERRA(现代时代回顾–研究和应用分析),只能在TTL中提供〜1.2 km垂直分辨率的温度,这被认为错过了对流层顶的更精细的垂直结构,因此引入了不确定性。我们对平流层HO的理解。在本文中,我们通过比较使用标准模型水平上使用MERRA温度的HO的拉格朗日轨迹预测()和使用垂直精度更高的GPS温度的拉格朗日轨迹预测(),以及使用波动引起的垂直结构更精细的MERRA温度进行的拉格朗日轨迹预测,来量化这种不确定性。事实证明,通过在对流层顶使用具有精细垂直结构的温度,轨迹模型可以更实际地模拟进入平流层的空气的脱水。但是,对HO丰度的影响相对较小:与相比,倾向于干燥空气约0.1 ppmv,而倾向于干燥空气0.2-0.3 ppmv。尽管预测的HO和垂直脱水模式的绝对值存在这些差异,但不同运行的年际变异性实际上没有差异。总体而言,我们发现具有精细垂直结构的对流层顶温度对平流层HO的预测影响有限。

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