Simulation Model Calibration and Validation. Phase II. Development of Implementation Handbook and Short Course Final rept. Dec 04-Sep 06

摘要

A previous study developed a procedure for microscopic simulation model calibration and validation and evaluated the procedure via two relatively simple case studies using three microscopic simulation models. Results showed that default parameters were unacceptable while calibrated parameters were able to replicate field conditions. Consequently, the study recommended that microscopic simulation models be calibrated and validated before they were used for any evaluations and analyses. A technical review panel determined that the previously developed procedure might not be readily adoptable by Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) traffic engineers due to its extensive use of advanced statistical tools and a lack of hands-on case study material. In addition, the proposed procedure needed to be tested with complex network conditions such as urban arterial networks and congested freeway systems. Consequently, it was concluded that what is now needed is (1) a handbook for simulation model calibration and validation that can be easily used by VDOT engineers, and (2) tests of the procedure for various network conditions. The purpose of this project was to develop a handbook for simulation model calibration and validation for VDOT traffic engineers to use for their simulation work and to develop and conduct a hands-on short course to instruct them in the use of the handbook.