Risk Analysis in Hazardous Materials Transportation. Volume I.

摘要

A contracted research project was undertaken by the University of Southern California for the Office of Hazardous Materials,Department of Transportation,on the subject topic. The results are as follows: (1) A risk analysis model is developed which is provided with input from existing data bases with some minor extensions and revisions and is logically consistent and satisfying. In fact,several agencies are already employing like models in analysis and operations; (2) Twenty examples are shown which demonstrate the procedure,its flexibility in accepting different levels of detail of data,and the type of results which are obtainable. In this phase several specific recommendations for data input needs and procedural development are made;and (3) The petition evaluation shows a clear dominance of one alternative over the other in terms of risk,bodily injury,deaths (equal),normal and total cost. It was not considered justified to generalize from the results to specify the exclusive use of the chosen alternative as factors beyond those considered were involved.