Introductory Tutorial for Demos

摘要

This document introduces Demos, and describes its facilities and how to use them. You should have at least a little experience with interactive computing to use Demos, but you do not need skill in computer programming. the name Demos stands for Decision Modelling System. Demos was designed to help you identify key decision-making issues and to deepen your understanding of a decison-making problem. It is an interactive environment for structuring, analyzing and communicating probabilistic models. You can use Demos for general mathematical modelling, but it is designed primarily for policy-related modelling. Demos allows you to use techniques from cost-benefit analysis, engineering-economics, risk assessment, and decision analysis. (ERA citation 11:018948)