Model for Predicting Medical Supply Requirements at the Forward Areas of Care:Battalion Aid Stations

摘要

The Medical Readiness Strategic Plan 2001 outlines the necessity of tailoringmedical capability to support evolving Marine Corps doctrine. To address this issue, the primary objective of the current study was to develop a model of the echelon la (battlefield) and echelon lb (Battalion Aid Station) medical supply stream that described the clinical requirement for each item stocked. Clinical requirements were established by linking each item to the specific medical task and type of patient condition (PC) requiring the item. A patient generating model (PATOEN) was used to determine which PCs would be expected to present at a BAS during a worst-case scenario major regional contingency. This information was loaded into the model to produce the specific medical supply items required for the BAS equipment AMAL 635 and consumable AMAL 636. When compared to the current Marine Corps BAS AMALs, the proposed AMALs produced by the model resulted in reductions of 33% in weight and 55% in cubic volume for the equipment AMAL 635 and 29% reductions in weight and 30% in cubic volume for the consumable AAlAL 636. This approach, which resulted in no reductions in BAS clinical capability, produced an audit trail for each item that allows medical planners and logisticians to substantially improve the process of configuring the AMALs because only items that can be clinically related to a treatment task conducted in theater are considered for inclusion in the AMALs.