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Wheat: The road to convergence

机译:小麦:融合之路

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摘要

Staring ahead while standing on a railroad, it appears the rails converge on the horizon. But as we walk forward, we find the convergence is an illusion and the rails remain as far apart as where we started. That separation is fine if you're running arailroad. It's not fine if you're hedging wheat, anticipating that cash and futures prices will come together; converge, when you reach the futures delivery month. Soft red wheat basis in many markets has resembled those railroad tracks for nearly two years — convergence remains elusive.
机译:站在铁路上凝视前方,似乎铁轨在地平线上汇合。但是,当我们向前走时,我们发现融合只是一种幻想,而且轨距与我们开始的地方仍然相距甚远。如果您正在铁路上行驶,则可以很好地隔离。如果您对小麦进行套期保值,因为它预期现金和期货价格会合而为一,那就不好了;当您到达期货交割月份时收敛。近两年来,许多市场上的软红小麦基础类似于铁轨-融合仍然难以捉摸。

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