Evolution model of collaborative production task responding to unplanned perturbations

摘要

Inevitable perturbations have a significant impact on collaborative production (CP) cause that the complexity are greatly increased. In order to assess the impact accurately enterprises to make precise decisions, it is prerequisite to master the dynamic behaviour of CP when changes occur. Accordingly, in this paper, an evolution model for simulating CP task state to perturbations is proposed. Regard CP tasks as a directed weighted complex network (DWCPTN) firstly, and statistical properties of DWCPTN are analysed. Two perturbation cases and two modifications policies are defined followed. Based on above mentioned, evolution model based on cellular automaton (CA) and SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) is presented to reveal the varying process by three indices (friction of resolved nodes, convergence time and economic behaviour). Finally, analytic results from a case of a chemical product CP network (CPNCP) are used to illustrate the model and method proposed in this paper. Simulation results shows that unplanned perturbations promote a negative role to CP but the improvements of self-healing can decrease the negative effects efficiently. With the analysis, it can provide insight into ways of improving the strategic and operational decision making for enterprises.