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Integrated optimal allocation model for complex adaptive system of water resources management (II): Case study

机译:水资源管理复杂自适应系统的集成优化分配模型(二):案例研究

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摘要

Climate change, rapid economic development and increase of the human population are considered as the major triggers of increasing challenges for water resources management. This proposed integrated optimal allocation model (IOAM) for complex adaptive system of water resources management is applied in Dongjiang River basin located in the Guangdong Province of China. The IOAM is calibrated and validated under baseline period 2010 year and future period 2011-2030 year, respectively. The simulation results indicate that the proposed model can make a trade-off between demand and supply for sustainable development of society, economy, ecology and environment and achieve adaptive management of water resources allocation. The optimal scheme derived by multi-objective evaluation is recommended for decision-makers in order to maximize the comprehensive benefits of water resources management. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:气候变化,经济的快速发展和人口的增加被认为是水资源管理挑战日益增加的主要诱因。该提议的综合最优分配模型(IOAM)适用于复杂的水资源管理系统,该模型被应用于中国广东省的东江流域。 IOAM分别在基准年2010年和未来期2011-2030年进行校准和验证。仿真结果表明,所提出的模型可以在社会,经济,生态和环境可持续发展的供需之间进行权衡,实现水资源分配的自适应管理。建议决策者采用由多目标评估得出的最优方案,以使水资源管理的综合利益最大化。 (C)2015 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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