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Identification of Regeneration Times in MCMC Simulation, With Application to Adaptive Schemes

机译:MCMC仿真中再生时间的识别及其在自适应方案中的应用

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摘要

Regeneration is a useful tool in Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation because it can be used to side-step the burn-in problem and to construct better estimates of the variance of parameter estimates themselves. It also provides a simple way to introduce adaptive behavior into a Markov chain, and to use parallel processors to build a single chain. Regeneration is often difficult to take advantage of because, for most chains, no recurrent proper atom exists, and it is not always easy to use Nummelin's splitting method to identify regeneration times. This article describes a constructive method for generating a Markov chain with a specified target distribution and identifying regeneration times. As a special case of the method, an algorithm which can be "wrapped" around an existing Markov transition kernel is given. In addition, a specific rule for adapting the transition kernel at regeneration times is introduced, which gradually replaces the original transition kernel with an independence-sampling Metropolis-Hastings kernel using a mixture normal approximation to the target density as its proposal density. Computational gains for the regenerative adaptive algorithm are demonstrated in examples.
机译:再生是马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛模拟中的一个有用工具,因为它可用于避免老化问题并构造参数估计值本身的方差的更好估计值。它还提供了一种将自适应行为引入Markov链并使用并行处理器构建单链的简单方法。再生通常难以利用,因为对于大多数链而言,不存在可再生的固有原子,并且使用Nummelin的分裂方法确定再生时间并不总是那么容易。本文介绍了一种生成具有指定目标分布的Markov链并标识再生时间的构造方法。作为该方法的特例,给出了一种可以“包装”在现有马尔可夫转换核周围的算法。此外,引入了在过渡时适应过渡内核的特定规则,该规则使用目标密度的混合正态近似作为提议密度,用独立抽样的Metropolis-Hastings内核逐步替换原始过渡内核。示例中演示了再生自适应算法的计算增益。

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