Cost-effectiveness analysis on the surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in liver cirrhosis patients using contrast-enhanced ultrasonography

摘要

Aim: Sonazoid is a new contrast agent for ultrasonography (US). Contrast-enhanced ultrasonography (CEUS) using Sonazoid enables Kupffer imaging, which improves the sensitivity of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection. However, there are no studies on the cost-effectiveness of HCC surveillance using Sonazoid. Methods: We constructed a Markov model simulating the natural history of HCV-related liver cirrhosis (LC) patients, and compared three strategies (no surveillance, US surveillance and CEUS surveillance). The transition probability and cost data were obtained from published data. The simulation and analysis were performed using TreeAge pro 2009 software. Results: When compared to the no surveillance group, the US and CEUS surveillance groups increased the life expectancy by 1.67 and 1.99 quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), respectively, and the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) were 17296 $US/QALY and 18384 $US/QALY, respectively. These results were both less than the commonly-accepted threshold of $US 50000/QALY. Even if the CEUS surveillance group was compared with the US surveillance group, the ICER was $US 24250 and thus cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that the annual incidence of HCC and CEUS sensitivity were two critical parameters. However, when the annual incidence of HCC is more than 2% and/or the CEUS sensitivity is more than 80%, the ICER was also cost-effective. Conclusions: Contrast-enhanced ultrasonography surveillance for HCC is a cost-effective strategy for LC patients and gains their longest additional life years, with similar degree of ICER in the US surveillance group. CEUS surveillance using Sonazoid is expected to be used not only in Japan, but also world-wide.