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China's Shale Gas Development Outlook and Challenges

机译:中国页岩气发展前景与挑战

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Developing and using shale gas could alleviate fossil fuel shortfalls in China, enhance that nation's energy security, and contribute to economic and social development. Though the government has plans to utilize its buried shale resources, significant barriers to that plan remain. Thanks to sustained and rapid development of China's economy, demand for natural gas has been increasing. From 2000 to 2010, China's demand for natural gas increased from 24.7 billion cubic meters (bcm) to 107.2 bcm; the average growth rate was about 16%. Furthermore, by 2009, natural gas demand exceeded supply in the Chinese market. China's conventional natural gas production exceeded 100 bcm for the first time and reached 102 bcm in 2011, but the growth rate of yields was only 8.45% - lower than the average of 13.07% in the past decade. Additionally, China's dependence upon traditional energy imports is increasing yearly. Dependence upon foreign oil reached 53.8% in 2011, and net imports of coal were about 146 million tons in 2010, with year-on-year growth of more than 41%. Natural gas imports have been steadily increasing (Figure 1) as Chinese natural gas demand has been growing faster than that of coal and petroleum.
机译:开发和使用页岩气可以缓解中国化石燃料的短缺,增强该国的能源安全,并为经济和社会发展做出贡献。尽管政府已计划利用其埋藏的页岩资源,但该计划仍存在重大障碍。得益于中国经济的持续快速发展,对天然气的需求一直在增长。从2000年到2010年,中国对天然气的需求从247亿立方米(bcm)增加到107.2 bcm。平均增长率约为16%。此外,到2009年,天然气需求超过了中国市场的供应。中国的常规天然气产量首次超过100 bcm,2011年达到102 bcm,但单产增长率仅8.45%,低于过去十年的平均13.7%。此外,中国对传统能源进口的依赖逐年增加。 2011年,对外国石油的依赖程度达到53.8%,2010年煤炭净进口量约为1.46亿吨,同比增长超过41%。随着中国天然气需求的增长快于煤炭和石油的需求,天然气进口一直在稳定增长(图1)。

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