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A Framework for Flood Risk Analysis and Benefit Assessment of Flood Control Measures in Urban Areas

机译:城市地区防洪措施的洪水风险分析框架及福利评估

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Flood risk analysis is more complex in urban areas than that in rural areas because of their closely packed buildings, different kinds of land uses, and large number of flood control works and drainage systems. The purpose of this paper is to propose a practical framework for flood risk analysis and benefit assessment of flood control measures in urban areas. Based on the concept of disaster risk triangle (hazard, vulnerability and exposure), a comprehensive analysis method and a general procedure were proposed for urban flood risk analysis. Urban Flood Simulation Model (UFSM) and Urban Flood Damage Assessment Model (UFDAM) were integrated to estimate the flood risk in the Pudong flood protection area (Shanghai, China). S-shaped functions were adopted to represent flood return period and damage (R-D) curves. The study results show that flood control works could significantly reduce the flood risk within the 66-year flood return period and the flood risk was reduced by 15.59%. However, the flood risk was only reduced by 7.06% when the flood return period exceeded 66-years. Hence, it is difficult to meet the increasing demands for flood control solely relying on structural measures. The R-D function is suitable to describe the changes of flood control capacity. This frame work can assess the flood risk reduction due to flood control measures, and provide crucial information for strategy development and planning adaptation.
机译:城市地区的洪水风险分析比农村地区更复杂,因为它们紧密堆积的建筑物,不同种类的土地用途以及大量防洪工程和排水系统。本文的目的是为城市地区洪水控制措施提出洪水风险分析和效益评估的实用框架。基于灾害风险三角形(危险,漏洞和曝光)的概念,提出了一种综合分析方法和一般程序,用于城市洪水风险分析。城市洪水仿真模型(UFSM)和城市洪水损伤评估模型(UFDAM)被纳入估算浦东防洪区(中国上海)的洪水风险。采用S形函数来表示洪水返回期和损坏(R-D)曲线。研究结果表明,洪水控制作品可能会显着降低66年洪水恢复期内的洪水风险,洪水风险降低了15.59%。然而,当洪水返回期超过66年时,洪水风险仅减少了7.06%。因此,难以满足洪水控制的日益增长的需求,仅仅依靠结构措施。 R-D功能适用于描述防洪容量的变化。该框架工作可以评估由于防洪措施导致的洪水风险降低,并为战略发展和规划适应提供了重要信息。

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