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A Framework for Flood Risk Analysis and Benefit Assessment of Flood Control Measures in Urban Areas

机译:城市洪水风险分析与防洪措施效益评估框架

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Flood risk analysis is more complex in urban areas than that in rural areas because of their closely packed buildings, different kinds of land uses, and large number of flood control works and drainage systems. The purpose of this paper is to propose a practical framework for flood risk analysis and benefit assessment of flood control measures in urban areas. Based on the concept of disaster risk triangle (hazard, vulnerability and exposure), a comprehensive analysis method and a general procedure were proposed for urban flood risk analysis. Urban Flood Simulation Model (UFSM) and Urban Flood Damage Assessment Model (UFDAM) were integrated to estimate the flood risk in the Pudong flood protection area (Shanghai, China). S-shaped functions were adopted to represent flood return period and damage (R-D) curves. The study results show that flood control works could significantly reduce the flood risk within the 66-year flood return period and the flood risk was reduced by 15.59%. However, the flood risk was only reduced by 7.06% when the flood return period exceeded 66-years. Hence, it is difficult to meet the increasing demands for flood control solely relying on structural measures. The R-D function is suitable to describe the changes of flood control capacity. This frame work can assess the flood risk reduction due to flood control measures, and provide crucial information for strategy development and planning adaptation.
机译:城市中的洪水风险分析比农村地区的洪水风险分析更为复杂,这是因为它们的建筑物密密麻麻,土地用途不同,防洪工程和排水系统众多。本文的目的是为城市地区的洪水风险分析和防洪措施的效益评估提供一个实用的框架。基于灾害风险三角形(灾害,脆弱性和暴露程度)的概念,提出了城市洪水风险分析的综合分析方法和通用程序。结合城市洪水模拟模型(UFSM)和城市洪水破坏评估模型(UFDAM)来估算浦东防洪区(中国上海)的洪水风险。采用S形函数表示洪水的返还期和破坏(R-D)曲线。研究结果表明,防洪工程可以在66年的洪灾恢复期内显着降低洪水风险,洪水风险降低了15.59%。但是,当洪水恢复期超过66年时,洪水风险仅降低7.06%。因此,仅依靠结构措施难以满足对防洪的日益增长的需求。 R-D功能适合描述防洪能力的变化。该框架工作可以评估由于防洪措施而减少的洪水风险,并为战略制定和规划调整提供重要信息。

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