首页> 外国专利> METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR INVESTMENT DECISION BASED ON REAL OPTION ANALYSIS FOR URBAN FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEM CONSIDERING CLIMATE CHANGES

METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR INVESTMENT DECISION BASED ON REAL OPTION ANALYSIS FOR URBAN FLOOD CONTROL SYSTEM CONSIDERING CLIMATE CHANGES

机译:基于实物期权分析的考虑气候变化的城市防洪系统投资决策方法和系统

摘要

According to the present invention provides, a real option-based investment determination method to improve an urban flood control system includes: a step of calculating the current value of benefits from alternatives to improve an urban flood control system; a step of calculating variability of the value of the urban flood control system from previous flood damage data; and a step of calculating the value of an execution time strategy of the alternatives as the value of a call option calculated by a real option scheme having the variability calculated using the current value of the benefits of each alternative as a basic asset and the delay time until the actual execution time of each alternative as a maturity for each of the alternatives.
机译:根据本发明,提供了一种基于实物期权的投资确定方法,用于改善城市防洪系统,包括:计算替代方案收益的当前价值以改善城市防洪系统的步骤;根据先前的洪水破坏数据计算城市防洪系统的价值变化的步骤;步骤,将选择方案的执行时间策略的值计算为通过实物期权方案计算的看涨期权的值,该实物期权方案具有使用每个选择方案的收益的当前值作为基本资产和延迟时间来计算的可变性直到每个替代方案的实际执行时间为止。

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