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Fractal Markets Hypothesis and the Global Financial Crisis: Wavelet Power Evidence

机译:分形市场假说与全球金融危机:小波幂证据

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We analyze whether the prediction of the fractal markets hypothesis about a dominance of specific investment horizons during turbulent times holds. To do so, we utilize the continuous wavelet transform analysis and obtained wavelet power spectra which give the crucial information about the variance distribution across scales and its evolution in time. We show that the most turbulent times of the Global Financial Crisis can be very well characterized by the dominance of short investment horizons which is in hand with the assertions of the fractal markets hypothesis.
机译:我们分析了在动荡时期关于特定投资范围主导的分形市场假设的预测是否成立。为此,我们利用连续小波变换分析并获得了小波功率谱,这些谱提供了有关跨尺度方差分布及其随时间演变的关键信息。我们表明,全球金融危机最动荡的时期可以很好地表征为短期投资占主导地位,这与分形市场假设的主张是一致的。

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