Countries' Future Higher Education Structure And Optimizing

摘要

In this study, "(2n+1) Geometric Ratio Model" is developed for the countries’future highereducation structure. In this model: 1. "Critical scale economy, 2. Critical scale population size, 3. Welleducatedscale population ratio, 4. Critical technology production in scale size" are determined. In this model,the entire higher education system is analyzed as a whole. It allows frame planning to be done with integrityfrom the instructors to student ratio. How the details of the plan will be done may vary according to thecountry's own characteristics, conditions, income levels and priorities. In this plan, the country is thought to beat a certain level in 35 years’ time. Or it will exceed 80% of the target planning. If the change is influential,100% of the target will be reached in 45-50 years’ time. According to the goals in this plan; the ratio ofuniversity graduates (including associates) in the country will be 85%and including master and doctoraldegrees this ratio will be 25%, well-educated ratio will be 6,25%, very well-educated ratio will be 1,56%, toplevel manager and scientist potential ratio will be 3,98/1000 and potential scientist ratio will be 4,98/100000.This is the mathematical result of the model. On the other hand, the proportion of academic highschools in a country should not exceed 25% of the total high schools. The other 75% should be trained as aprofession according to the needs. Another important result is that 25% of high school graduates are potentiallysuccessful students. Among them, the 3,98/1000 segment is among the candidates who will serve in the potentialupper level that needs to be carefully cultivated. The other result obtained from the model is planned to provideone academic staff for each 12 students. Academic structure coefficient ratios in lower layers are alsodetermined by considering pyramid ratios.