Analysis and computation of a discrete costly observation model for growth estimation and management of biological resources

摘要

Early estimation of biological growth of organisms is an indispensable task in ecology and related research areas. The biological growth is always time-continuous, while our observations of the phenomenon are time-discrete in practice. The formalism of the discrete costly observation (DCO) enables us to mathematically bridge the two qualitatively different processes. This formalism is still germinating, and its practical applications have not been carried out. This paper presents a first application of the DCO formalism to a cost-effective early estimation problem of the biological growth, and its mathematical and numerical analysis. Growth dynamics of organisms, which are fishery resources in this paper, is governed by a stochastic differential equation whose solution is observed discretely. The optimality equation to be solved for finding the most cost-effective observation policy is derived as a fixed point problem based on degenerate parabolic partial differential equations. The fixed point problem turns out to be uniquely solvable. A recursive approximation of the fixed point problem is presented and its solvability in a viscosity sense is discussed. A finite different scheme is then employed to fully-discretize the recursive equations. The present model is finally applied to a problem of Japanese smelt Plecoglossus altivelis altivelis (Ayu): an important inland fishery resource in Japan. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.