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Full likelihood inferences in the Cox model: an empirical likelihood approach

机译:Cox模型中的完全似然推断:一种经验似然方法

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For the regression parameter β 0 in the Cox model, there have been several estimators constructed based on various types of approximated likelihood, but none of them has demonstrated small-sample advantage over Cox’s partial likelihood estimator. In this article, we derive the full likelihood function for (β 0, F 0), where F 0 is the baseline distribution in the Cox model. Using the empirical likelihood parameterization, we explicitly profile out nuisance parameter F 0 to obtain the full-profile likelihood function for β 0 and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for (β 0, F 0). The relation between the MLE and Cox’s partial likelihood estimator for β 0 is made clear by showing that Taylor’s expansion gives Cox’s partial likelihood estimating function as the leading term of the full-profile likelihood estimating function. We show that the log full-likelihood ratio has an asymptotic chi-squared distribution, while the simulation studies indicate that for small or moderate sample sizes, the MLE performs favorably over Cox’s partial likelihood estimator. In a real dataset example, our full likelihood ratio test and Cox’s partial likelihood ratio test lead to statistically different conclusions.
机译:对于Cox模型中的回归参数β 0 ,已经基于各种类型的近似似然性构造了多个估计器,但没有一个比Cox的部分似然估计器具有小样本优势。在本文中,我们导出了(β 0 ,F 0 )的完全似然函数,其中F 0 是Cox中的基线分布模型。使用经验似然参数化,我们显式分析烦人参数F 0 ,以获得β 0 的全轮廓似然函数,以及(β)的最大似然估计器(MLE) 0 ,F 0 )。 MLE和Cox的β 0 的部分似然估计之间的关系清楚地表明,泰勒的展开使Cox的部分似然估计函数成为全轮廓似然估计函数的前导项。我们显示对数全似比具有渐近的卡方分布,而仿真研究表明,对于中小样本量,MLE的表现优于Cox的部分似然估计。在一个真实的数据集示例中,我们的完全似然比检验和Cox的部分似然比检验得出了统计上不同的结论。

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