综合运用LOGIT模型和AHP法预测部队联合投送方式分担率

摘要

在组织部队联合投送时需综合利用多种投送方式，合理确定各种投送方式的分担率十分重要，传统上多用定性方法确定，随意性较大。采用多项 LOGIT 模型，结合 AHP 分析法，对部队组织联合投送时各种投送方式的分担率进行了预测，为合理选择各种投送方式、拟制部队投送计划方案提供科学依据。%It is extremely important to determine the rational sharing rate of each of the various proj ection modes when the pro-j ection of troops is organized and needs to use the combined proj ection modes.Traditionally,the qualitative method was mostly applied to determining the sharing rates,the results of which were often rather random.Therefore,in this paper the sharing rate of each of the proj ection modes for the combined proj ection of troops is forecasted by means of quite a few LOGIT models in combination with the AHP method.The paper may provide scientific gist for selecting the most rational projection mode,and help to work out the proj ection scheme for troops.