我国区域经济差距的空间演变趋势及其成因

摘要

文章采用空间马尔科夫链方法分析了我国区域差距和经济发展的空间效应及演变趋势,发现地理背景对经济类型转移具有显著影响,区域经济类型不会发生明显的跃迁,经济增长存在空间相关性和路径依赖性。然后,利用Kernel密度分布法提供了同时考察经济增长及区域差距的新分析框架,从经济增长分布演进的视角,分析了我国区域经济差距的原因。研究结果显示,中国经济差距扩散的动力来源于效率改进而非要素投入。%Using the space Markov chain method,this paper analyzes spatial effect and evolution trend of regional disparity and economic growth in China,and finds that the geographical background has a significant impact on transitions of the economic type,and transition of regional economic type isn＇t obvious.There is spatial correlation and path dependence in the economic growth of regions.This paper also constructs a new dynamic model to analyze economic growth and disparity using kernel density distribution,to analyze the sources of regional economic disparities from the perspective of distribution of economic growth.The results show that the source of China＇s widening regional economic disparities is total factor productivity rather than factor inputs.