基于主成分分析法构建公立医院财务风险预警模型的研究

摘要

目的:构建适用于公立医院的财务风险预警综合评价模型,据此为公立医院的财务管理与风险管理提供决策依据;方法:运用主成分分析法对影响到公立医院财务风险的相关指标进行处理,构建财务预警的综合评价模型,并应用样本医院数据对此模型进行验证评价.结果:预警评价模型准确度为80％以上.结论:该预警模型可以较为准确地对公立医院的财务状况作出判断,是医院财务风险识别的有效手段.%Objective: To establish a model that can estimate the financial risk in the public hospital. The model can provide the suggestion for financial management and risk management in the public hospital. Method: Using the principal component analysis to extract the financial risk index and establish the financial risk early warning model; after that, using the data of the sample hospital to check the model. Result: The financial risk early warning model has a very highly accuracy, and the value is more than 80 percent. Conclusion: The model can estimate the risk of the public hospital accurately, which is an effective management style to identify the financial risk in the public hospital.