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Simulation-based response surface computation under shape restrictions.

机译:在形状限制下基于仿真的响应面计算。

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摘要

Many optimization problems that arise in the management sciences involve optimization in the presence of uncertainty. In view of simulation's effectiveness for evaluating complex objective functions that incorporate randomness, it is natural to consider simulation-based optimization algorithms. While much of the existing literature focuses on optimization over a set of continuous decision variables, relatively little has been developed for optimizing, via simulation, an objective function involving discrete decision variables. This is a particularly serious omission since many stochastic optimization problems are most naturally formulated in terms of discrete decision quantities. We propose a gradient--type algorithm that is intended for discrete problems in which the objective varies "smoothly" across the feasible region. Our motivation for considering such a class of problems arose in the setting of a project with a major automaker in which the goal was to optimize the number of containers of different types used to ship parts through its supply chain. The algorithm has the property that in the presence of bounded random variables and "natural convexity", the rate of convergence is of order 1/n. We also present an efficient heuristic algorithm for more general objective functions. The thesis also includes some new results related to simulation-based estimation of a response surface that is either assumed or is known a priori to be convex. We discuss how the convexity can be exploited to obtain a better estimate of the response surface than would be possible in the absence of convexity. The thesis concludes with some recent work on a class of modeling questions that arise when initializing simulations that are used as part of a decision tool to predict system performance over a finite horizon.
机译:管理科学中出现的许多优化问题都涉及存在不确定性的优化。考虑到仿真对于评估包含随机性的复杂目标函数的有效性,自然会考虑基于仿真的优化算法。尽管许多现有文献集中于对一组连续决策变量进行优化,但通过仿真优化涉及离散决策变量的目标函数的研究却很少。这是一个特别严重的遗漏,因为许多随机优化问题最自然地是根据离散决策量来表述的。我们提出了一种梯度类型算法,该算法旨在解决离散问题,其中目标在可行区域内“平稳”变化。我们考虑与此类问题的动机来自大型汽车制造商的项目设置,其目的是优化用于通过其供应链运输零件的不同类型的集装箱数量。该算法具有以下性质:在有界随机变量和“自然凸度”的存在下,收敛速度为1 / n量级。我们还提出了一种有效的启发式算法,用于更通用的目标函数。本文还包括一些新的结果,这些结果与基于模拟的响应表面估计有关,该假定被假定为或已知是先验的。我们讨论了如何利用凸度来获得比没有凸度时更好的响应面估计。本文的结论是对一类建模问题进行了最新的研究,这些问题在初始化模拟时会出现,这些模拟被用作决策工具的一部分,以预测有限范围内的系统性能。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lim, Eunji.;

  • 作者单位

    Stanford University.;

  • 授予单位 Stanford University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Industrial.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2008
  • 页码 57 p.
  • 总页数 57
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 一般工业技术;
  • 关键词

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