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Questioning the sustainable palm oil demand: case study from French-Indonesia supply chain

机译:质疑可持续棕榈油需求:法国 - 印度尼西亚供应链的案例研究

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Sustainable palm oil has been widely debated. Consuming countries insist certified sustainable produces palm oil, but in fact the absorption of the certified palm oil is still less than 60%. This raise questions about the sustainable palm oil demand. In this study, such a condition will be analysed in French-Indonesia supply chain case. Using monthly and quarterly data from 2010 to 2016 with Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach and Error Correction Model, demand influencing factors and price integration in each market of the supply chain is estimated. Two scenarios namely re-export and direct export models are considered in the Error Correction Model. The results show that France Gross Domestic Product, prices of France palm oil import from Indonesia, Malaysia, and Germany, and price of France groundnut import significantly influence the France palm oil import volume from Indonesia. Prices in each market along palm oil re-export France-Indonesia supply chain are co-integrated and converge towards long-run equilibrium, but not in the direct export supply chain. This leads to a conclusion that France market preferences in specific and EU market preferences in general need to be considered by Indonesian palm oil decision makers.
机译:可持续的棕榈油已被广泛争论。消费国坚持认证可持续生产棕榈油,但实际上,经认证的棕榈油的吸收仍然不到60%。这提出了关于可持续棕榈油需求的问题。在这项研究中,将在法国 - 印度尼西亚供应链箱中分析这种情况。使用2010年至2016年的每月和季度数据具有自回归分布式滞后(ARDL)方法以及纠错模型,估计供应链每个市场的需求影响因素和价格集成。在纠错模型中考虑了两个场景即重新出口和直接出口模型。结果表明,法国国内生产总值,法国棕榈油价格从印度尼西亚,马来西亚和德国的价格,以及法国面池的价格大大影响了印度尼西亚法国棕榈油进口量。每个市场的价格沿着棕榈油再出口法国 - 印度尼西亚供应链共同整合并融合长期均衡,但不在直接出口供应链中。这导致得出的结论是,法国在特定和欧盟市场偏好方面的偏好需要由印度尼西亚棕榈油决策者考虑。

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