Student Performance Prediction Method Based on Fuzzy Cognitive Model

摘要

With the continuous development of education informationization, the data mining technology has been increasingly interlinked with education teaching; analysis of teaching results based on data mining is playing an increasingly important role in the teaching reform. In order to help students understand their own capabilities and help teachers master students' level, this paper introduced the fuzzy cognitive model, proposed a method for student performance prediction. The method collected students' theoretical examination score and experimental score, combining the cognitive diagnosis model to obtain prediction score both in theoretical examination and experiment. We can find the gap through comparing students' actual score and predicted score, so as to improve the teaching pertinence and quality. The result shows that the method can improve the accuracy of performance prediction and reduce the prediction error effectively, so as to provide strong data supports for the teaching reform.