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Inference for the Sample Maximum in the Presence of Serial Correlation and Heavy Tailed Distributions

机译:在存在串联相关和重尾部分布的存在下最大值的推断

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We consider data from an infinite order moving average time series model with inputs in the α-stable domain of attraction, for α ∈ (0, 2): The sample maximum of the data is of interest in settings such as insurance and finance; we produce a normalization for this statistic, which, in conjunction with subsampling methods, will allow for asymptotically correct estimation of its cumulative distribution function. A concrete application to the concept of "safety-first" portfolio selection is given.
机译:我们考虑来自无限阶数移动平均时间序列模型的数据,其中α-stable域的输入,用于α∈(0,2):数据的最大样本对保险和金融等设置感兴趣;我们对该统计数据产生归一化,其与子采样方法结合使用,将允许对其累积分配功能的渐近校正估计。给出了对“安全第一”组合选择的概念的具体应用。

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